Jobless Claims

New Claims - Level	Prior 424 K	Rev 428 K	Est 420 K	Range 410 K to 430 K	Act 422 K
4-week Moving Average - Level	438.5 K	439.50 K			425.50 K

Fewer people applied for unemployment benefits

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_UNEMPLOYMENT_BENEFITS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-06-02-12-56-28

Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm productivity - Q/Q change - SAAR	Prior 1.6 %	Est 1.7 %	Range 1.5 % to 2.0 %	Act 1.8 %
Unit labor costs - Q/Q change - SAAR	1.0 %	0.8 %	-0.5 % to 1.2 %	0.7 %

US 1Q Nonfarm Productivity Revised Up To 1.8%;ULC Rev Down

http://imarketnews.com/?q=node/31675

Factory Orders

Factory Orders - M/M change

3.0 %

3.8 %

-0.9 %

-2.5 % to -0.5 %

-1.2 %

Factory orders broadly lower in April

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/02/us-usa-economy-factory-idUSTRE7513KH20110602

EIA Petroleum Status Report

http://www.eia.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/current/pdf/highlights.pdf

Crude oil inventories (weekly change)	Prior 0.6 M barrels	Actual 2.9 M barrels
Gasoline              (weekly change)	3.8 M barrels	2.6 M barrels
Distillates            (weekly change)	-2.0 M barrels	-1.0 M barrels

EIA Natural Gas Storage Data

http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html

Total(05/27/11):2,107Bcf (05/20/11):2,024Bcf Change: +83Bcf Prior +105

Year ago stocks: 2,344 Bcf % diff to yr ago: -10.1 % 

5-year avg stocks: 2,149 Bcf % dif to 5-yr avg: -2.0 % 

Softs+1.01%

Sugar #11 +4.72%

Coffee +2.07%

Cotton #2 +2.03%

Orange Juice +0.88%

Cocoa -1.73%

Lumber -1.90%

           

Energies+1.00%

Natural Gas +3.41%

Heating Oil +1.10%

Ethanol Futures +0.45%

Crude Oil WTI +0.21%

Gasoline -0.26%

Oil Heads for Weekly Decline on U.S. Economy; Crude Stockpiles Increase

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-02/oil-rises-0-5-percent-in-new-york-u-s-crude-stockpiles-unexpectedly-gain.html

Natural-Gas Futures Surge To 10-Month High After Storage Data

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303657404576361413563669114.html

Grains+0.78%

Soybeans +1.50%

Soybean Meal +1.47%

Wheat +1.38%

Corn +1.05%

Soybean Oil +0.82%

Canola +0.76%

Rough Rice +0.07%

Oats -0.78%

Wheat Futures Climb for Second Day on Weather Concerns in U.S., EU, Canada

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-03/wheat-futures-gain-0-5-advance-for-second-day-in-chicago-corn-declines.html

Indices+0.12%

E-Mini Nasdaq 100 +0.41%

E-Mini S&P 500 +0.11%

Russell 2000 Mini +0.04%

E-Mini S&P Midcap -0.04%

DJIA Mini-Sized -0.20%

Stocks mixed on weak retail and jobless reports

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_WALL_STREET?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-06-02-16-59-32

Currencies+0.08%

Euro FX +0.77%

Mexican Peso +0.26%

Australian Dollar +0.18%

Swiss Franc +0.02%

Japanese Yen +0.02%

British Pound -0.01%

Canadian Dollar -0.15%

U.S. Dollar Index -0.47%

Financials-0.41%

Euro $ unch

2-Year T-Note -0.04%

5-Year T-Note -0.15%

10-Year T-Note -0.28%

T-Bond -0.81%

Ultra T-Bond -1.49%

Metals-1.23%

Copper -0.28%

Platinum -0.32%

Gold -0.55%

Palladium -1.13%

Silver -3.99%

Economic Data

MBA Purchase Applications

Purchase Index - W/W Change	Prior          -3.2 %	Actual 1.5 %
Refinance Index - W/W Change	13.2 %	0.9 %
Composite Index - W/W Change	7.8 %	1.1 %

Durable Goods Orders

New Orders - M/M change Prior 2.5 % Rev 4.4 % Est        -3.0 % Range                      -5.7 % to 0.5 % Act              - 3.6 % New Orders - Yr/Yr Change 10.5 % 14.1 % 5.3 % Ex-transportation - M/M 1.3 % 2.5 % -1.5 % Ex-transportation - Yr/Yr 6.1 % 8.2 % 6.7 %

From Briefing.com:

Highlights: Durable orders fell 3.6% in April after increasing an upwardly revised 4.4% (from 4.1%) in March. This was the biggest decline since October 2010.

• The Briefing.com consensus expected durable goods orders to decline 2.0%.

Read more: http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/Calendars/EconomicReleases/durord.htm#ixzz1NOsaS7Gx

Orders for durable goods fall 3.6% in April Airline, auto declines account for bulk of reversal, U.S. data indicate

FHFA House Price Index

M/M change	Prev         -1.6 %	Revised       -1.5 %	Act    -0.3 %
Y/Y change	-5.7 %	-5.5 %	-5.8 %

EIA Petroleum Status Report

Crude oil inventories (weekly change)	Prior          0.0 M barrels	Current             0.6 M barrels
Gasoline (weekly change)	0.1 M barrels	3.8 M barrels
Distillates (weekly change)	-1.2 M barrels	-2.0 M barrels

 

Weekly Petroleum Status Report

Analysis of US EIA data: US middle distillate inventories drop as ULSD demand surges

U.S. Oil Import Dependence: declining no matter how you measure it

 

Market Activity

Softs+2.53%

LB+3.61% CC+3.40% SB+3.33% OJ+2.22% KC+1.40%      CT+1.40%

Commodities: Slow Boat to China Big Boost for Canada Lumber-2

Metals+2.04%

SI+4.74% HG+2.33% PA+1.75% PL+1.10% GC+0.12%

PRECIOUS METALS: Gold, Silver Rise On Safe Haven Buying

Energies+1.34

HO+2.44% CL+1.62% RB+1.12% ZK +1.03% NG+0.62%

Oil hits 2-week high on U.S. distillate draw, dollar

Grains+0.96%

O+2.50% W2.15% C1.23%  BO+0.84% RS+0.57% S+0.35% RR +0.30% SM-0.25%

Evening markets: wheat rises, dismissing Russia export risk

Indices+0.72% CRB +1.57% VIX -1.91%

RJ+1.16% EW+0.62% NQ+0.35%         ES+0.32% YM+0.28%

U.S. stocks end higher after 3-session drop

Currencies+0.11%

SF+0.73% BP+0.59% USD unch MP unch CD -0.07% JY-0.12% EC-0.18% AD-0.25%

Financials-0.01%

ZF+0.12% ZN+0.06% ZT+0.02% ED unch ZB-0.10%           

Market Recap for 5.24.11

Economic Data

New Home Sales - Level - SAAR

Prev 300 K

Rev 301 K

Est 300 K

Range 285 K to 320 K

Act 323 K

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index: level change

Prev 10

Act -6

 

Overview

Service sector activity slowed in May, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Retail sales dwindled as shopper traffic dropped sharply; big ticket sales remained in decline. Revenues also weakened at non-retail services firms. Looking ahead six months, retail merchants pulled back from their optimism of a month ago. Non-retail services providers maintained a positive outlook, but were less upbeat than in April.

In service sector labor markets, retailers made few changes, while hiring rose solidly at non-retail firms, albeit more slowly than a month earlier. Average wages were nearly unchanged at retail establishments, but spiked at services firms.

Price change in the sector was contained; retail price growth remained at last month's pace, while services firms' prices advanced a bit more slowly in May. Services providers' expectations for price change in the months ahead moderated from their outlook of a month ago, while merchants anticipated an uptick from their previous estimates (Source:http://www.richmondfed.org/research/regional_economy/surveys_of_business_conditions/service_sector/2011/svc_05_24_2011.cfm#tabview=tab0)

Special Report

From HuffingtonPost: Members of Congress Get Abnormally High Returns From Their Stocks

Market Activity

Metals+1.37%

SI+4.84% PA+1.18% HG+0.94% GC+0.69% PL+0.48%

Reuters: Gold hits 3 week high on Euro debt Worries           

Softs+1.04%

LB+2.25% SB+1.86% OJ+1.05% CC+0.66% CT-0.01% KC-0.51%

Energies+0.86%

HO+2.26% CL+2.01% RB+2.00% NG-0.37% ZK-1.36%

Goldman raise oil price outlook

CFTC Says Crude oil Manipulated in '08

Currencies+0.23%

MP+0.47% BP+0.46% AD+0.43% SF+0.41%  EC+0.41% CD unch   JY -0.02% USD-0.32%

Reuters: Euro up vs. USD but Greece saps momentum

 

Financials+0.06%

ZB+0.17% ZN+0.08% ZF+0.03% ZT+0.02% ED+0.01%

Indices+0.02% CRB  +0.47% VIX -1.35%

ES+0.21% YM+0.13% JK+0.12% EW-0.03% NQ-0.26%    

Cash S&P index remains just below the 50d moving average.

AP: Sttocks Slip on European Debt Worries

Grains-0.57%

RS+0.54% BO+0.45% RR+0.33% SM+0.11% S-0.11% O-0.28% C-2.75% W-2.90%

CME Group: Wheat Market Report

WN11 Moves below the 50d moving Average

Market Recap for 05.23.11

Economic Data

Market Activity

Financials+0.16%        

ZB+0.25% ZN+0.17% ZF+0.05% ED-0.01% ZT-0.04%

Grains-0.38%

RS +0.45% RR-0.13% BO-0.42% W-0.43% S-0.47% SM-0.50% C-0.72% O-0.82%

Energies-0.66%

NG+2.32% RB-0.18% ZK-0.67% HO-2.49% CL-2.61%      

Story From Financial Times

Platts Oilblog RE Chinese Demand

Currencies-0.72%

USD+0.93% CD-0.52% JY-0.55% SF-0.74% BP-0.96%        EC-1.06% MP-1.11% AD-1.71%

Forex Report from WSJ

Metals-0.88%

GC+0.56% SI+0.04% PA-0.39% PL-0.85% HG-3.48%        

Gold News from The Financial Times

Indices-1.23% CRB -1.09% VIX +2.77%

YM-0.83% ES-0.94% NQ-1.19% EW-1.32% RJ-1.66%

AP News Story On US Equities

Softs-1.45%

KC +1.31% OJ-0.50% CC-0.83% CT-1.11% LB-3.83% SB-4.02%

Sugar News from China

Recap for 5.17.11

Economic Data

ICSC-Goldman Store Sales

Released on 5/17/2011 7:45:00 AM For wk5/14, 2011 Prior Actual Store Sales - W/W change 0.0 % -2.0 % Store Sales - Y/Y 2.7 % 3.2 %

Housing Starts

Released on 5/17/2011 8:30:00 AM For Apr, 2011 Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual Starts - Level - SAAR 0.549 M 0.585 M 0.570 M 0.549 M to 0.583 M 0.523 M Permits - Level - SAAR 0.594 M 0.574 M 0.551 M

http://www.briefing.com/GeneralContent/Investor/Active/ArticlePopup/ArticlePopup.aspx?SiteName=Investor&ArticleId=NS20110517094047HeadlineHits Redbook

Released on 5/17/2011 8:55:00 AM For wk5/14, 2011 Prior Actual Store Sales Y/Y change 4.7 % -2.3 %

Industrial Production                                                             Iindustrial production was unchanged in April after having increased 0.7 percent in March. Output in February is now estimated to have declined 0.3 percent; previously it was reported to have edged up 0.1 percent. In April, manufacturing production fell 0.4 percent after rising for nine consecutive months. Total motor vehicle assemblies dropped from an annual rate of 9.0 million units in March to 7.9 million units in April, mainly because of parts shortages that resulted from the earthquake in Japan. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, factory production rose 0.2 percent in April. The output of mines advanced 0.8 percent, while the output of utilities increased 1.7 percent. At 93.1 percent of its 2007 average, total industrial production was 5.0 percent above its year-earlier level. The rate of capacity utilization for total industry edged down 0.1 percentage point to 76.9 percent, a rate 3.5 percentage points below its average from 1972 to 2010. (Source: http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/current/)

Released on 5/17/2011 9:15:00 AM For Apr, 2011 Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual Production - M/M change 0.8 % 0.7 % 0.4 % -0.4 % to 0.8 % 0.0 % Capacity Utilization Rate - Level 77.4 % 77.0 % 77.6 % 77.0 % to 77.9 % 76.9 %

Market Activity

Grains+1.90%

W+3.73% C+3.26% O+2.59% RR+2.02% SM+1.36% S+1.09% RS+0.95% BO+0.23%

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/market-commentary/ag/2011/05/recap-corn_822.html

Financials+0.26%

ZB+0.48% ZN+0.20% ZF+0.10% ED unch ZT unch

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/market-commentary/ir/2011/05/recap-ir-and-treasuries_879.html

Metals+0.19%

HG+1.00% P+0.78% PL+0.40% GC-0.44% SI-0.62%             

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-futures-rebound-in-electronic-trading-2011-05-17?dist=afterbell

Currencies+0.04%

SF+0.35% EC+0.33% AD+0.30% BP+0.27% MP+0.15% CD+0.08% USD-0.21% JY-0.73%

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-16/euro-holds-gains-as-european-union-approves-portugal-aid-pressures-greece.html

Softs-0.14%

CT+2.57% SB+1.19% KC+0.76% OJ-0.16% CC-0.90% LB-4.31%

Indices-0.19%

NQ+0.21% RJ+0.18% EW+0.16% ES+0.09% YM+0.08%        

http://view.ed4.net/v/R0W9G/SP0JXI/XH8GTT/HY7058/

Energies-0.47%

ZK+1.97% CL+0.12% RB+0.05% HO-0.33% NG-3.17%

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Canadian+natural+prices+tumble+cooling+demand+wanes/4799045/story.html

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/17/markets-energy-nymex-idUSN1718132320110517