Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Silver Report

Market Performance
_____
LAST
YTD %
3-MTH 
6-MTH 
9 MTH 
1 YR

SI
35.955
+15.81%
+25.25%
+80.17%
+93.83%
+109.39%

GC
1,429.1
+0.28%
+2.93%
+14.24%
+15.98%
+27.91%

PL
1,802.0
+1.00%
+6.90%
+15.81%
+16.30%
+12.93%

CT
206.78
+48.54%
+59.45%
+130.32%
+157.83%
+166.99%
                                                          











          
          





Because of its role as both an industrial material and an investment vehicle,
Silver continues to be the best performer in the metals complex. Only cotton, because of weather related issues, has posted better returns.
There are a couple of theories floating around that attempt to explain this move.

The "Short Squeeze":

CFTC Bank Participation Reports As you see in these reports, as of 03.01.11

banks were were net short approximately 30,000 silver futures contracts. The option reports shows that banks were holding bearish options positions: short calls and long puts.
The shortsqueeze.com link shows the SLV ETF has a short interest position of 17,631,300 shares.


Dwindling Stocks:
COMEX Silver Inventories at a 5 year low
The backwardation structure of the price curve shows how tight silver supplies are.


Market Manipulation:
CFTC Manipulation Investigations


Supply/Demand discussion from Silverseek.com


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The contents of any third-party letters/reports above do not necessarily reflect the opinions or viewpoint of G. Scott Hinton. They are provided for informational/educational purposes only.All sites refered to or displayed on this blog are available to anyone free of charge. The content of any message or post by G. Scott Hinton anywhere on this site is not to be construed as constituting market or investment advice. Such is intended for educational purposes only. Individuals should always consult with their own advisors for specific investment advice. This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy commodities herein named. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial.