Financial Futures+Options Commitment of Traders Report
(Click to View)

Commodities Futures + Options Commitment of Traders Report (Click to View)


GDP Data (click to view)

GDP Price Index
Q/Q Chg Prior=2.1% Est=1.5% Act=0.3%



4Q GDP Q/Q Change Prior=3.5% Est=3.5% Act=3.2%





Bureau of Economic Analysis Press Release: (Link to BEA Press Release)

National Income and Product Accounts

Gross Domestic Product, 4th Quarter and Annual 2010 (advance estimate)Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.6 percent.

The Bureau emphasized that the fourth-quarter advance estimate released today is based on

source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see the box on page4). The "second" estimate for the fourth quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on February 25, 2011.


The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by a negative contribution from private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

The acceleration in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected a sharp downturn in imports, an acceleration in PCE, and an upturn in residential fixed investment that were partly offset by downturns in private inventory investment and in federal government spending and a deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment.

Final sales of computers added 0.31 percentage point to the fourth-quarter change in real GDP after adding 0.29 percentage point to the third-quarter change. Motor vehicle output subtracted 0.34 percentage point from the fourth-quarter change in real GDP after adding 0.49 percentage point to the third-quarter change.

 The 0.4% Q to Q increase in the ECI  was below expectations.

4Q'10 was 2.0% above 4Q'09. (The 2nd lowest reading.) The lowest was the 1.4% increase from 4Q'08 to 4Q'09

UofM Sentiment Index:
Prior=72.7 Est= 73.0 Act=74.2

The consumer expectations component shows strenght, while current conditions are below last month. Higher energy and food prices have pushed inflation readings to their highest levels of the recovery.