Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Economic News
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

Prior
Actual
level
94.5 
91.9 
Lower sales & weaker outlook. Hiring and hiring outlook both up

ICSC-Goldman Store Sales

Prior
Actual
Store Sales - W/W change
2.3 %
0.1 %
Store Sales - Y/Y
2.8 %
2.9 %


International Trade


Prior
Prior Revised
Consensus
Consensus Range    Actual
Trade Balance Level
$-46.3 B
$-47.0 B
$-44.0 B
$-47.5 B to $-41.9 B
$-45.8 B

Imports in Food & consumer goods both rose.  Auto and capital goods imports fell. Exports fell

Import and Export Prices













Prior
Actual
Export Prices - M/M change
1.2 %
1.5 %
Export Prices - Y/Y change
8.6 %
9.5 %
Import Prices - M/M change
1.4 %
2.7 %
Import Prices - Y/Y change
6.9 %
9.7 %
Import price rise due to 10.5% rise in energy prices




Redbook

Prior
Actual
Store Sales Y/Y change
0.5 %
4.7 %

Treasury Budget


Prior
Consensus
Consensus Range
Actual
Treasury Budget - Level
$-222.5 B
$-189.0 B
$-190.0 B to $-189.0 B
$-188.2 B
The deficit is +15% Outlays +11% Interest cost + 10% Receipts +7%
 Market Activity
Financials +0.49%
US +0.71%     TY+0.58% FV+0.42%TU +0.16% ED unch 

Currencies
JY+1.19% SF +1.08% EC+0.35% USD -0.25% AD -0.40%        BP-0.56% CD -0.58%MP -0.74%

Softs -0.81%  
CC +1.79% KC -0.29% OJ -0.85% LB -1.38% SB -1.77% CT-2.37%

Indices  -0.95%   VIX +0.73% CRB -1.64%
NQ -0.77% ES -0.78% YM -0.93% EW -1.00%        RJ -1.27%

Metals -1.73%
GC -1.04% PL-1.16% SI -1.48% HG -1.79% PA -3.19%

Energies -2.05%
NG -0.17% RB-1.27% Ethanol  -2.56% HO -2.66% CL-3.77%

Grains -2.87%
SM -2.09% RS-2.34% RR -2.55% O -2.62% BO -2.69% S-2.83% C-3.03% W-4.85%
Earnings
Earnings Monday 4;  2 above ests 1 match 1 below; 2 posted higher revs 2 lower revs
Earning Tuesday 2; 1 above 1 below; both posted revs above year-ago

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