Thursday, June 2, 2011

Jobless Claims

New Claims - Level
Prior 424 K
Rev 428 K
Est 420 K
Range 410 K to 430 K
Act 422 K
4-week Moving Average - Level
438.5 K
439.50 K


425.50 K
Fewer people applied for unemployment benefits

Productivity and Costs

Nonfarm productivity - Q/Q change - SAAR
Prior 1.6 %
Est 1.7 %
Range 1.5 % to 2.0 %
Act 1.8 %
Unit labor costs - Q/Q change - SAAR
1.0 %
0.8 %
-0.5 % to 1.2 %
0.7 %

US 1Q Nonfarm Productivity Revised Up To 1.8%;ULC Rev Down


Factory Orders

Factory Orders - M/M change
3.0 %
3.8 %
-0.9 %
-2.5 % to -0.5 %
-1.2 %

Factory orders broadly lower in April


EIA Petroleum Status Report
Crude oil inventories (weekly change)
Prior 0.6 M barrels
Actual 2.9 M barrels
Gasoline              (weekly change)
3.8 M barrels
2.6 M barrels
Distillates            (weekly change)
-2.0 M barrels
-1.0 M barrels










EIA Natural Gas Storage Data
http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html
Total(05/27/11):2,107Bcf (05/20/11):2,024Bcf Change: +83Bcf Prior +105
Year ago stocks: 2,344 Bcf % diff to yr ago: -10.1 % 
5-year avg stocks: 2,149 Bcf % dif to 5-yr avg: -2.0 % 

Softs+1.01%
Sugar #11
+4.72%
Coffee
+2.07%
Cotton #2
+2.03%
Orange Juice
+0.88%
Cocoa
-1.73%
Lumber
-1.90%
           
Energies+1.00%
Natural Gas
+3.41%
Heating Oil
+1.10%
Ethanol Futures
+0.45%
Crude Oil WTI
+0.21%
Gasoline
-0.26%

Oil Heads for Weekly Decline on U.S. Economy; Crude Stockpiles Increase

Natural-Gas Futures Surge To 10-Month High After Storage Data

Grains+0.78%
Soybeans
+1.50%
Soybean Meal
+1.47%
Wheat
+1.38%
Corn
+1.05%
Soybean Oil
+0.82%
Canola
+0.76%
Rough Rice
+0.07%
Oats
-0.78%

Wheat Futures Climb for Second Day on Weather Concerns in U.S., EU, Canada

Indices+0.12%
E-Mini Nasdaq 100
+0.41%
E-Mini S&P 500
+0.11%
Russell 2000 Mini
+0.04%
E-Mini S&P Midcap
-0.04%
DJIA Mini-Sized
-0.20%
Stocks mixed on weak retail and jobless reports
Currencies+0.08%
Euro FX
+0.77%
Mexican Peso
+0.26%
Australian Dollar
+0.18%
Swiss Franc
+0.02%
Japanese Yen
+0.02%
British Pound
-0.01%
Canadian Dollar
-0.15%
U.S. Dollar Index
-0.47%

Financials-0.41%
Euro $
unch
2-Year T-Note
-0.04%
5-Year T-Note
-0.15%
10-Year T-Note
-0.28%
T-Bond
-0.81%
Ultra T-Bond
-1.49%




Metals-1.23%
Copper
-0.28%
Platinum
-0.32%
Gold
-0.55%
Palladium
-1.13%
Silver
-3.99%

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Economic Data
Motor Vehicle Sales

Domestic Vehicle Sales
Prior 10.1 M
Est 9.7 M
Range                  9.5 M to 10.2 M


MBA Purchase Applications
Purchase Index - W/W Change
Prior 1.5 %
Actual 0.0 %
Refinance Index - W/W Change
0.9 %
-5.7 %
Composite Index - W/W Change
1.1 %
-4.0 %
Challenger Job-Cut Report

Announced Layoffs - Level
Prior 36,490 
Actual 37,135 
ADP Employment Report

ADP employment
Prior 179,000 
Revised 177,000 
Actual 38,000 

ISM Mfg Index

ISM Mfg Index - Level
Prior 60.4 
Est 57.5 
Range 55.0  to 59.5 
Actual 53.5 

Construction Spending

Construction Spending - M/M change
Prior 1.4 %
Revised 0.1 %
Estimate 0.1 %
***Range            -1.5 % to 0.7 %
Actual 0.4 %
Construction Spending - Y/Y change

-7.5 %


-9.3 %

Market Activity
Financials+0.58%
ZB+1.07% ZN+0.68% ZF+0.36% ZT+0.03%ED unch

Treasury 10-year yields fall under 3% after ADP


Currencies-0.11%
SF+1.15% JY+0.66% US +0.31% EC-0.37% AD-0.46% BP-0.74% CD-0.79% MP-1.07%

Dollar, yen, swissie gain on weak data


Grains -0.40%
SM+1.52% C+1.47% S+0.74% RS+0.24% BO-0.10% O-0.78% W-2.94% RR -3.32%

Wheat Drops on Russia Exports, Europe Rain; Corn, Soybeans Gain


Energies-0.52%
RB+1.89% ZKunch  NG-0.84% HO-1.21% CL -2.66%

NYMEX-Crude ends down 2 pct on economic concerns 

CFTC vs. Arcadia et al.: a government agency roils the oil market with a big action (Updated)


Metals-1.40%
GC+0.16% PA-0.55% PL-0.70% HG-2.15% SI-4.05%

St

Softs-1.58%
CT+1.45% OJ-0.27% CC-1.53% LB-2.67% SB-3.02% KC-3.53%


Indices-2.40%
NQ-2.15% YM-2.26% ES-2.34% EW-2.49%  RJ -3.22%


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The contents of any third-party letters/reports above do not necessarily reflect the opinions or viewpoint of G. Scott Hinton. They are provided for informational/educational purposes only.All sites refered to or displayed on this blog are available to anyone free of charge. The content of any message or post by G. Scott Hinton anywhere on this site is not to be construed as constituting market or investment advice. Such is intended for educational purposes only. Individuals should always consult with their own advisors for specific investment advice. This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy commodities herein named. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial.