Thursday, June 23, 2011

IEA Oil Release News Reports

Brent Weekly
RBOV Weekly




WTI Weekly









IEA collective action – June 23, 2011 Frequently asked questions


How many times has the IEA undertaken such a “collective action”? When was the last time?
How exactly will stocks be made available to the market in each of your member countries? What mechanism is used?
How much time will it take for these stocks to become available?
How much oil will each country release? Will each country release the same proportional amount, or will some countries do more? How is that decision made?
THas the IEA consulted with OPEC or Saudi Arabia on this decision? Would this IEA action not discourage Saudi Arabia and other willing OPEC members from increasing oil production?
I thought the IEA only does this for supply disruptions in excess of 7%. The 1.5 million-barrels-a-day disruption from Libya doesn’t seem all that much, given that global demand is around 88 mb/d, so why go to all the trouble?
If the disruption from Libya is 1.5 million barrels per day, why are the IEA member countries releasing 2 million barrels per day?
Libyan supplies have been off the market since February. Why are you only doing this now?
Are IEA countries not putting at risk their capacity to react to more serious oil disruptions that may happen in the coming months considering geopolitical uncertainties in MENA countries?No;
Several analysts say this is only likely to have a short-term effect on the market, and that prices will be higher in a month’s time. What’s your response?  Will you extend this by 30 days? How will you decide?
Isn’t the IEA effectively doing this to counter high prices – and in that sense isn’t this fundamentally different from a traditional release in response to a supply disruption? Doesn’t this therefore set a bad precedent, by making the IEA a market manipulator?














Wednesday, June 22, 2011

MBA Purchase Applications

Purchase Index - W/W Change
Prior 4.5 %
Actual  -2.8 %
Refinance Index - W/W Change
16.5 %
-7.2 %
Composite Index - W/W Change
13.0 %
-5.9 %

MBA: U.S. Mortgage Demand Slips As Rates Creep Higher


FHFA House Price Index



 EIA Petroleum Status Report Report Summary


Crude oil inventories (weekly change)
-3.4 M barrels
-1.7 M barrels
Gasoline (weekly change)
0.6 M barrels
-0.5 M barrels
Distillates (weekly change)
-0.1 M barrels
1.2 M barrels








Federal Reserve Lowers U.S. Growth Outlook

Softs+0.80%
Cotton +4.19%    Lumber +1.16%   Cocoa +0.43% Coffee +0.10% OJ -0.33% Sugar -0.76%
Energies+0.18%
Gasoline +2.63%    Heating Oil +1.53%  WTI +0.42% Natural Gas -1.60%        Ethanol -2.49%

 




Financials+0.01%
10-Year +0.08%     5-Year +0.06% T-Bond +0.02% 2-Year +0.01%   Eurodollar +0.01% 
Metals-0.08%
Gold +0.29% Silver +0.09%  Plat+0.03% Pall-0.29% Copper -0.68%
Currencies-0.21%
.USD +0.47% Swiss +0.14% Peso -0.09% C$ -0.20% Yen -0.25% A$-0.37%   Euro FX -0.46% Pound  -1.10%

Sterling turns ugly, Fed stance gives dollar lift

 


Indices-0.28%
Midcap -0.23%       DJIA -0.44% S&P 500 -0.52% Russell -0.55%  Nasdaq 100 -0.60%  
Grains-2.01%
Oats -0.42% Bean Oil -0.80%                Canola -1.12% Meal -1.31% Beans -1.37% Rice -1.52%  Corn -4.24%  Wheat -5.34%



Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Drought Worries Boost Ags

Economic Data

Existing Home Sales


Prior
Prior Revised
Consensus
Consensus Range
Actual
Existing Home Sales - Level - SAAR
5.05 M
5.00 M
4.750 M
4.600 M to 5.100 M
4.81 M
Existing Home Sales - M/M Change
-0.8 %
-1.8 %


-3.8 %
Existing Home Sales - Yr/Yr Change
-12.9 %
-13.8 %


-15.3 %


Market Data
Softs+1.74%
OJ+4.17% Cotton +4.03% Cocoa +2.02% Lumber +0.17% Sugar +0.07% Coffee -0.04%

Drought, dust darkens nation's biggest cotton patch


Indices+1.60%
Russell +2.16% Nasdaq +2.13%      Midcap +1.76%  S&P 500 +1.35%  DJIA +0.99%


            
Metals +1.13%
Pall+2.65%  Silver +1.12% Plat+1.10% Copper +0.41% Gold  +0.36%  

Grains +0.86%
Wheat +2.28% Oil +1.04% Corn +1.00% Oats +1.00% Beans +0.97%  Meal +0.49% Canola +0.07%  Rice +0.04%


Currencies+0.36%       
C$+0.75% E FX +0.72%    Swiss +0.69%  Peso +0.69% British +0.40%  A$+0.31% Yen +0.15%     U.S. $-0.68%

Euro gains 4th day but path hinges on Greece vote


Energies+0.20%
Ethanol +2.40%   Nat Gas +1.90%   WTI +0.18% Gasoline -1.15% Heating Oil -1.92%    

UPDATE 1-Alaska N.Slope oil at $19 over WTI seen a record


Financials-0.07%
E$+0.03% 2-Year unch 5-Year -0.01% 10-Year -0.11% T-Bond -0.30%

Monday, June 20, 2011

FTC To Investigate Oil - Retail OTC Metals Ban

Softs+2.02%
Sugar +4.17%         Lumber+3.09% OJ +3.09% Cotton +2.45%         Cocoa+1.71%         Coffee-2.38%  
      

Sugar Rises to Two-Month High on Supply Concern; Coffee Falls; Cocoa Gains

Indices+0.68%
Russell +1.04%  Midcap +0.99% DJIA +0.63% S&P 500 +0.61%      Nasdaq 100 +0.45%

Financials+0.02%
T-Bond +0.12%  2-Year +0.02% Eurodollar unch 10-Year -0.01%  5-Year -0.03%

Currencies-0.01%
Peso +0.27% Swiss +0.23% Pound +0.15%Canadian $+0.05% U.S. +0.03%  E- FX-0.08% Yen -0.26% A$-0.39%

Metals +0.09%          
Silver+0.76%  Pall+0.45%  Gold+0.19%  Copper-0.63% Plat-1.01%


Trading Of Over The Counter Gold And Silver To Be Illegal Beginning July 15

            


Grains-0.38%
Meal+0.29%  Beans +0.21%  B Oil+0.18%   Corn +0.04% Canola -0.31% Oats -0.43% Rice -1.11% Wheat -1.93%

 Corn Stocks Plunging to 1974 Low as China Adds Brazil-Sized Crop to Demand

  

Energies-0.43%
Ethanol +0.91%   WTI +0.39% Natural Gas -0.44% Gasoline -1.30% H Oil -1.78%

FTC opens probe into oil, gasoline markets

     


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The contents of any third-party letters/reports above do not necessarily reflect the opinions or viewpoint of G. Scott Hinton. They are provided for informational/educational purposes only.All sites refered to or displayed on this blog are available to anyone free of charge. The content of any message or post by G. Scott Hinton anywhere on this site is not to be construed as constituting market or investment advice. Such is intended for educational purposes only. Individuals should always consult with their own advisors for specific investment advice. This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy commodities herein named. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial.