Wednesday, March 2, 2011

03.02.11 Review

Economic Reports
#1) MBA Purchase Applications
_________________________Prev________Act
Purchase Index - W/W Change
__5.1 %__
__-6.1 %__
Refinance Index - W/W Change
__17.8 %__
__-6.5 %
Composite Index - W/W Change
__13.2 %__
__-6.5 %__
The housing market remains depressed. These declines in mortgage financing occurred in a week where mortgage rates fell 16 basis points. The average 30 yr fixed rate is 4.84%

#2) Challenger Job-Cut Report 
Announced Layoffs - Level
Prev 38,519 
Act. 50,702 

The bulk of the layoffs were from the government/non profit sector.

#3) ADP Employment Report

ADP employment
Prior =187,000 
Revised=189,000 
Latest=217,000 
#4) EIA Petroleum Inventory Report View Report Here
Crude: -364k 1st decline in 7 weeks
Gasoline: -3.59m. Largest drop since Oct. 10 Demand was up 0.7% despite higher prices at the punp.



#5) FED Beige Book View Beige Book Here
“overall economic activity continues to expand at a moderate pace.” Manufacturing continues to lead the recovery. Retail sales was the next strongest sector. Loan demand was mixed. The labor picture is slowly improving.

Market Activity
Soft commodity sector was the best performing group (+1.32%) The front month contracts in cotton & sugar were the largest percentage gainers. CTH11 +4.4% SBH11 +3.14%
Energies rose 0.75%, on continued uncertainty about the situations in the MidEast and a bullish inventory report. Front month WTI crude gained 2.75%
Equity indexes posted a 0.92% gain. The improving jobs picture outweighed higher oil prices. The VIH11 (VIX) contract remains below its 50d moving average
The metals complex was up 0.2%, with GCJ11 posting a new record high.
Interest rate contracts posted the largest declines, with the financial sector falling 0.32% today.


 

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The contents of any third-party letters/reports above do not necessarily reflect the opinions or viewpoint of G. Scott Hinton. They are provided for informational/educational purposes only.All sites refered to or displayed on this blog are available to anyone free of charge. The content of any message or post by G. Scott Hinton anywhere on this site is not to be construed as constituting market or investment advice. Such is intended for educational purposes only. Individuals should always consult with their own advisors for specific investment advice. This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy commodities herein named. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial.